BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Colorado State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Colorado State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.73 |
23.56 (-1.17) |
19.60 |
17.42 (-2.18) |
19.73 (+2.30) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
375.91 |
355.39 (-20.52) |
357.00 |
324.04 (-32.96) |
335.80 (+11.76) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.50 |
5.10 (-0.40) |
5.42 |
5.06 (-0.37) |
5.08 (+0.02) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
30.45 |
29.41 (-1.04) |
32.00 |
29.16 (-2.84) |
29.25 (+0.10) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
416.27 |
443.70 (+27.42) |
426.80 |
401.75 (-25.05) |
417.48 (+15.73) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.68 |
6.03 (+0.35) |
6.09 |
6.02 (-0.06) |
6.02 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
@Texas |
3.65 |
52.50 |
+48.86 |
56.15 |
0.10% |
L 0-52 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Northern Colorado |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 38-17 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Colorado |
22.84 |
37.90 |
+15.07 |
60.74 |
25.84% |
L 9-28 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-21 |
UTEP |
29.51 |
18.15 |
-11.35 |
47.66 |
68.21% |
W 27-17 |
2-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Oregon State |
19.49 |
36.92 |
+17.44 |
56.41 |
22.03% |
L 31-39 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
San José State |
24.81 |
31.67 |
+6.86 |
56.47 |
39.00% |
W 31-24 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-20 |
@Air Force |
19.42 |
15.98 |
-3.44 |
35.40 |
55.51% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
New Mexico |
41.92 |
35.70 |
-6.21 |
77.62 |
59.96% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-03 |
@Nevada |
21.15 |
24.18 |
+3.03 |
45.33 |
45.14% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Wyoming |
25.87 |
23.44 |
-2.43 |
49.31 |
53.89% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-24 |
@Fresno State |
17.52 |
24.18 |
+6.65 |
41.70 |
39.33% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-29 |
Utah State |
37.75 |
31.04 |
-6.71 |
68.79 |
60.76% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
1.06% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
7.31% |
1.06% |
98.94% |
| 5-7 |
20.98% |
8.37% |
91.63% |
| 6-6 |
31.57% |
29.35% |
70.65% |
| 7-5 |
25.93% |
60.92% |
39.08% |
| 8-4 |
11.18% |
86.86% |
13.14% |
| 9-3 |
1.96% |
98.04% |
1.96% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.10% |
| 2-10 |
1.25% |
| 3-9 |
5.61% |
| 4-8 |
14.19% |
| 5-7 |
23.55% |
| 6-6 |
25.70% |
| 7-5 |
18.04% |
| 8-4 |
8.65% |
| 9-3 |
2.48% |
| 10-2 |
0.40% |
| 11-1 |
0.03% |